
Over the past year, McKinsey – itself busy reinventing its business model with AI – has published a constant flow of AI research: adoption surveys, sector deep-dives, workforce projections, technology roadmaps. I’ve read these at different moments in time. For this newsletter, I synthesized 25 of those reports into one overview (leveraging NotebookLM).
The picture that emerges is both clearer and more confronting than any of the individual pieces on their own.
The headline is simple: AI is now everywhere, but real value is highly concentrated. A small group of “AI high performers” is pulling away from the pack—economically, organizationally, and technologically. The gap is about to widen further as we move from today’s generative tools to tomorrow’s agentic, workflow-orchestrating systems.
This isn’t a technology story. It’s a strategy, operating model, and governance story.
AI is everywhere – value is not
McKinsey’s research shows that almost 9 in 10 organizations now use AI somewhere in the business, typically in one function or a handful of use cases. Yet only about a third are truly scaling AI beyond pilots, and just 6% can attribute 5% or more EBIT uplift to AI.
Most organizations are stuck in what I call the “pilot loop”:
- Launch a promising proof of concept.
- Prove that “AI works” in a narrow setting.
- Hit organizational friction – ownership, data, process, risk.
- Park the use case and start another pilot.
On paper, these companies look active and innovative. In reality, they are accumulating “AI debt”: a growing gap between what they could achieve and what the real leaders are already realizing in terms of growth, margin, and capability.
The research is clear: tools are no longer a differentiator. Your competitive position is defined by your ability to industrialize AI – to embed it deeply into how work is done, not just where experiments are run.
The 6% success factors: what AI high performers actually do
The small cohort of high performers behaves in systematically different ways. Four contrasts stand out:
- They pursue growth, not just efficiency
Most organizations still frame AI as a cost and productivity story. High performers treat efficiency as table stakes and put equal weight on new revenue, new offerings, and new business models. AI is positioned as a growth engine, not a shared-service optimization tool. - They redesign workflows, not just add tools
This is the single biggest differentiator. High performers are almost three times more likely to fundamentally redesign workflows around AI. They are willing to change decision rights, process steps, roles, and controls so that AI is embedded at the core of how work flows end-to-end. - They lead from the C-suite
In high performers, AI is not owned by a digital lab, an innovation team, or a single function. It has visible, direct sponsorship from the CEO or a top-team member, with clear, enterprise-wide mandates. That sponsorship is about more than budget approval; it’s about breaking silos and forcing trade-offs. - They invest at scale and over time
Over a third of high performers dedicate more than 20% of their digital budgets to AI. Crucially, that spend is not limited to models and tools. It funds data foundations, workflow redesign, change management, and talent.
Taken together, these behaviours show that AI leadership is a management choice, not a technical one The playbook is available to everyone, but only a few are willing to fully commit.
The workforce is already shifting – and we’re still early
McKinsey’s data also cuts through a lot of speculation about jobs and skills. Three signals are particularly important:
- Workforce impact is real and rising
In the past year, a median of 17% of respondents reported workforce reductions in at least one function due to AI. Looking ahead, that number jumps to 30% expecting reductions in the next year as AI scales further. - The impact is uneven by function
The biggest expected declines are in service operations and supply chain management, where processes are structured and outcomes are measurable. In other areas, hiring and reskilling are expected to offset much of the displacement. - New roles and skills are emerging fast
Organizations are already hiring for roles like AI compliance, model risk, and AI ethics, and expect reskilling efforts to ramp up significantly over the next three years.
The message for leaders is not “AI will take all the jobs,” but rather:
If you’re not deliberately designing a human–AI workforce strategy that covers role redesign, reskilling, mobility, governance implications, it will happen to you by default.
The next wave: from copilots to co-workers
Most of the current adoption story is still about generative tools that assist individual knowledge workers: drafting content, summarizing documents, writing code.
McKinsey’s research points to the next phase: Agentic AI – systems that don’t just respond to prompts but plan, orchestrate, and execute multi-step workflows with limited human input.
Three shifts matter here:
- From tasks to workflows
We move from “AI helps write one email” to “AI manages the full case resolution process”—from intake to investigation, decision, and follow-up. - From copilots to virtual co-workers
Agents will interact with systems, trigger actions, call APIs, and collaborate with other agents. Humans move further upstream (framing, oversight, escalation) and downstream (relationship, judgement, exception handling). - From generic tools to deep verticalization
The most impactful agents will be highly tailored to sector and context: claims orchestration in insurance, demand planning in manufacturing, clinical operations in pharma, and so on.
Today, around six in ten organizations are experimenting with AI agents, but fewer than one in ten is scaling them in any function. The gap between high performers and everyone else is set to widen dramatically as agents move from proof of concept to production.
So what should leaders actually do?
The gap between high performers and everyone else is widening now, not in five years. As agentic AI moves from proof of concept to production, the organizations still running pilots will find themselves competing against fundamentally different operating models—ones that are faster, more scalable, and structurally more profitable.
If you sit on an executive committee or board, you might start with these questions:
- Ambition – Are we using AI mainly to cut cost, or do we have a clear thesis on how it will create new revenue, offerings, and business models?
- Workflow rewiring – For our top 5–10 value pools, have we actually redesigned end-to-end workflows around AI, or are we just bolting tools onto legacy processes?
- Ownership – Who on the top team is truly accountable for AI as an enterprise-wide agenda—not just for “experiments,” but for operating model, risk, and value delivery?
- Workforce strategy – Do we have a concrete plan for role redesign, reskilling, and new AI governance roles over the next 3–5 years, backed by budget?
- Foundations and governance – Are we treating data, infrastructure, and sustainability as strategic assets, with the same rigor as financial capital and cybersecurity?
The era of casual experimentation is over. McKinsey’s research makes one thing brutally clear: the organizations that will dominate the agentic era won’t be those with the most impressive demos or the longest list of pilots. but those willing to answer “yes” to all five questions – and back those answers with real budget, real accountability, and real organizational change.
The 6% are already there. The question is whether you’ll join them—or explain to your board why you didn’t.








